Hard-To-Find-Dictionary
0x098495b2b2114e29cbc1203b6a88b2d7f5aa2a4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$4.11
Total PnL
$-57.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Trump say "Cuba" or "Cuban" this week?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 27?
535 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 27?
531 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- NO
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on July 27?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.13
$-4.88
- YES
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 27?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.06Jul 27, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.00Jul 27, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.05Jul 27, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.07Jul 27, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.07Jul 27, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.07Jul 27, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.07Jul 27, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$6.36Jul 27, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$11.94Jul 27, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.06Jul 27, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.03Jul 27, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.03Jul 27, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.04Jul 27, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.07Jul 27, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.07Jul 27, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$2.76Jul 27, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.06Jul 27, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.02Jul 27, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.02Jul 27, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$0.00Jul 26, 22:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.