Insistent-Enigma
0x099e9780a0f9a38c7e0c926e4413b94ff46b8e52
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$173.53
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?
21298 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-637.10
- YES
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 21-28?
12685 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-237.40
- YES
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?
8335 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-831.47
- YES
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28?
6575 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-179.38
- YES
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 21-28?
5675 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-236.77
- YES
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 28 - March 7?
5638 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-157.05
- YES
Will Elon tweet 700-724 times March 7-14?
5000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28?
3500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 28 - April 4?
2524 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-33.04
- YES
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?
2287 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-159.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.80Apr 12, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?$10.43Apr 18, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?$0.55Apr 18, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?$41.52Apr 18, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?$22.48Apr 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?$29.73Apr 18, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$7.38Apr 11, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150-159 times April 4 - 11?$50.01Apr 10, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150-159 times April 4 - 11?$11.55Apr 10, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150-159 times April 4 - 11?$8.44Apr 10, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$0.11Apr 10, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$0.05Apr 10, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$0.02Apr 10, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$42.24Apr 10, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$4.76Apr 10, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$2.35Apr 10, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$14.15Apr 10, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$6.24Apr 10, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$3.23Apr 10, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$4.65Apr 10, 02:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 11:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.