Responsible-Difficulty
0x09a3f144ea9368f1f586652b4e249bb92c4181db
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$40.56
Total PnL
$-98.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$17.24
$7.24
- YES
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
16 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$15.52
$6.52
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.80
$-2.20
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
581 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?
324 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
204 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
176 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$10.00Jan 7, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?$9.55Jan 7, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$9.89Jan 7, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$9.00Jan 7, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$10.00Jan 7, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?$10.00Jan 7, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?$10.00Jan 7, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$10.00Jan 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$5.00Jan 7, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?$25.00Jan 7, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 17?$25.00Jan 7, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$25.00Jan 7, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $12.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 09:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.