Wallet digest

active

Activity score

71/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$59.92

Total PnL

$-69.56

Realised

$-37.88

Win rate

57%

7 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 16

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
16 shares @ 28.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026
$16.01
$11.46
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
9 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$9.00
$0.18
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026
$8.60
$6.28
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$8.25
$0.41
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
7 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$7.37
$0.52
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
7 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$7.00
$0.14
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$3.69
$0.37
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
30 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026
$0.00
$-8.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
28 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026
$0.00
$-9.60
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
26 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026
$0.00
$-9.62

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$4.39Mar 28, 20:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$4.64Mar 28, 20:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$3.36Mar 28, 20:30 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$6.92Mar 28, 20:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$7.75Mar 28, 20:01 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$6.37Mar 28, 18:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$7.84Mar 28, 18:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$9.00Mar 28, 12:16 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.26Mar 28, 09:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$4.81Mar 28, 09:16 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$4.07Mar 28, 07:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$8.74Mar 28, 07:01 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$4.40Mar 28, 02:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$9.99Mar 28, 02:31 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$6.71Mar 28, 00:57 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$7.38Mar 28, 00:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$9.80Mar 28, 00:56 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$10.45Mar 27, 23:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$9.75Mar 27, 23:45 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$4.53Mar 27, 21:36 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence23 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry44 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk54 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $7.76
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 11, 12:26 UTC
Last active: Mar 28, 20:31 UTC
Win rate sample: 7 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 21:58:46 UTC·src:Polymarket Data