0x09b006573afaf1bdf352ccc3864d1a58870748a4
0x09b006573afaf1bdf352ccc3864d1a58870748a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
128
Open notional
$2.18
Total PnL
$-905.17
Realised
$-104.76
Win rate
0%
125 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
4072 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
2542 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
277 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
229 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
226 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.03Aug 14, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$25.68Aug 14, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$0.00Aug 14, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$0.00Aug 14, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$25.86Aug 14, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$6.25Aug 13, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.07Aug 13, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Aug 12, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Aug 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.07Aug 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.04Aug 11, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.11Aug 6, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.01Aug 6, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$4.17Aug 3, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$5.49Aug 3, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$6.30Aug 3, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.04Aug 3, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.04Aug 3, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 125 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
125 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $6.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 19:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 125 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.