Ordinary-Begonia
0x09b4162d21b0ad5499335798cd348f49b2b6494b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$963.96
Total PnL
$-394.07
Realised
$0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
943 shares @ 82.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$556.62
$-216.99
- NO
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.25B?
400 shares @ 77.5¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$272.00
$-38.10
- NO
Will Gustavo Puerta be in Colombia's Starting 11?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$92.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$25.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 19.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 2.2¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$4.40
$-31.60
- YES
Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?
13 shares @ 18.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.94
$-1.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$32.00Jun 14, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$132.12Jun 14, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$137.01Jun 14, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$19.00Jun 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$22.00Jun 14, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Puerta be in Colombia's Starting 11?$166.00Jun 14, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.14Jun 14, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.18Jun 14, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08Jun 14, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.38Jun 14, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.28Jun 14, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.07Jun 14, 05:41 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.22Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$6.24Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$140.38Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$38.00Jun 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$180.09Jun 13, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$77.48Jun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$36.00Jun 13, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$261.00Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $75.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.