Infantile-Site
0x09b5318e38967782d097aae01d46ee07a562fd79
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
183
Open notional
$0.03
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$-42.08
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 183- MIBR
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
61 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.03
$-24.97
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
1786 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
1300 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.10
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
425 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
398 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-95.52
- T1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
384 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-81.00
- PISTONS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
356 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-54.20
- ALEX PEREIRA
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
339 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-173.00
- DETROIT TIGERS
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers
288 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NEW YORK YANKEES
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
269 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLParaguay vs. France: O/U 2.5$42.33Jul 4, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage$25.44Jul 4, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: O/U 2.5$25.31Jul 4, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Morocco (-1.5)$28.88Jul 4, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$60.07Jul 4, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?$15.37Jul 4, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?$14.62Jul 4, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?$15.38Jul 4, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBraxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 5.5$70.40Jul 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Morocco (-1.5)$10.21Jul 4, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$35.45Jul 4, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBraxton Ashcraft: Strikeouts O/U 5.5$45.51Jul 4, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)$14.50Jul 4, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)$2.50Jul 4, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$5.15Jul 4, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$15.39Jul 4, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$6.10Jul 4, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$55.71Jul 4, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners$86.96Jul 4, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLTampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros$175.61Jul 4, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $42.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.