Trained-Manager
0x09bd464c86114d8aa7616f6e6f55788963306f5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$416.02
Total PnL
$-182.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
156 shares @ 52.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$77.25
$-5.36
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
203 shares @ 40.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$64.80
$-16.20
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
474 shares @ 19.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
600 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$39.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
168 shares @ 28.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.09
$-10.91
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
375 shares @ 16.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.88
$-28.88
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
277 shares @ 24.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.10
$-39.22
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
106 shares @ 33.8¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.07
$-9.93
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
21 shares @ 83.4¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.22
$-3.35
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
34 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.17
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$46.35May 25, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$34.09May 25, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$6.74May 25, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?$62.16May 25, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?$92.92May 25, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$24.03May 25, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$37.85May 25, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$56.05May 25, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$71.68May 25, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$41.15May 25, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$30.77May 25, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?$4.88May 23, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?$1.68May 23, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?$7.17May 23, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$7.20May 23, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$13.20May 23, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$11.26May 23, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?$3.91May 23, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$10.04May 23, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$13.32May 23, 01:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $25.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 01:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 17:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.