Quirky-Tree
0x09c2afd9480abe7b21e5c2af85247718dc8f6a72
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$18.14
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$20.40
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
15 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.04
$-1.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
801 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-321.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
746 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-191.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
628 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
619 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
603 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-288.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
566 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-280.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
538 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-167.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
521 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-260.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$42.07May 22, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$42.27May 22, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$104.97May 22, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$11.84May 22, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$46.82May 22, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$40.41May 22, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$41.80May 22, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$19.06May 22, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$41.82May 22, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$14.53May 22, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$27.42May 22, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$31.33May 22, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$5.34May 22, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$104.68May 22, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$25.92May 22, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$7.95May 22, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$104.29May 22, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$103.68May 22, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$428.41May 21, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$103.76May 21, 21:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $55.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".