Popular-Ephemera
0x09ce3b5f06e46ae82a64b5578f80ce0efe23992f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-40.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bitcoin above 71,000 on April 10, 9PM ET?
207 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.18
- YES
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
123 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
BNB Up or Down - April 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
79 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
67 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
26 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.00Apr 14, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?$0.00Apr 14, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 71,000 on April 10, 9PM ET?$10.93Apr 11, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?$2.00Apr 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$3.00Apr 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.00Apr 11, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$0.00Apr 10, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$0.00Apr 10, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UK strike Iran by April 30?$1.45Apr 10, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.41Apr 10, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$0.50Apr 10, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$4.46Apr 10, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$13.90Apr 10, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$0.63Apr 10, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$5.00Apr 10, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$15.00Apr 10, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - April 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$3.00Apr 10, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - April 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$3.00Apr 10, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 03:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 23:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.