Mammoth-Downtown
0x09d1c642653e5bb50f02c825fbb36aab299a3fb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$92.46
Total PnL
$1.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
53 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$53.03
$0.03
- NO
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.19
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.31
$4.31
- NO
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 99.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$3.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 16?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill HSBC fail by end of 2026?$6.00May 15, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?$4.00May 15, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 16?$3.11May 15, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 16?$2.91May 15, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$53.01May 15, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$12.00May 15, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.20May 15, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 16?$3.04May 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?$3.09May 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$93.89May 15, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$94.00Apr 15, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$93.13Apr 15, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.49Mar 11, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.28Mar 11, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.17Mar 11, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.20Mar 11, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.30Mar 11, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$18.23Mar 11, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$64.55Mar 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Edgar Javier Rodriguez win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$94.45Mar 11, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $52.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".