Hidden-Cylinder
0x09f4265f01d63cbf177a0763e0369ce6a8f51eb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-86.24
Realised
$2.80
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C or below on March 29?
400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on March 29?
400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on March 20?
400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on March 29?
336 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C or higher on March 12?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on March 12?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on March 12?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 11?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on March 11?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on March 11?
300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on April 24?$0.13Apr 24, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on April 24?$0.03Apr 24, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on April 24?$0.03Apr 24, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on April 24?$0.05Apr 24, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on April 24?$0.02Apr 24, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on April 24?$0.04Apr 24, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on April 24?$0.03Apr 24, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on April 24?$0.00Apr 24, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on April 24?$0.40Apr 24, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 24?$0.25Apr 24, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on April 24?$0.03Apr 24, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on April 24?$0.06Apr 24, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on April 24?$0.02Apr 24, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on April 24?$0.05Apr 24, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on April 24?$0.00Apr 24, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on April 24?$0.03Apr 24, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on April 24?$0.03Apr 24, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 24?$0.19Apr 24, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 24?$0.04Apr 24, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 24?$0.02Apr 24, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 22:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.