Likely-Cape
0x09f848067d79a0757b554e7aaf847538ef16bcb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-383.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
500 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 24, 12PM ET
462 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-27.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
367 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.98
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
364 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-39.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
294 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-196.60
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 12PM ET
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
105 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Mar 24, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$120.27Mar 24, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$0.57Jan 30, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$0.02Jan 30, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$0.16Jan 30, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$0.25Jan 30, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$25.00Jan 28, 06:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$20.04Jan 26, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$5.7KJan 25, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$5.7KJan 25, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$200.00Jan 25, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.09Jan 25, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.89Jan 25, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$8.10Jan 25, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$100.00Jan 25, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.33Jan 25, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$4.00Jan 25, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$8.00Jan 25, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$28.80Jan 25, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$11.58Jan 25, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $280.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".