Naive-Cursor
0x09f859c1dd27b5ff1262ed31475333e6a0fbc110
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$15.47
Total PnL
$-1.04
Realised
$0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$13.33
$3.33
- NO
DeepSeek removed from App Store before March?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?
12 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$10.00Apr 13, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.71Apr 13, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek be #1 model before April?$0.99Jan 28, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?$0.82Jan 28, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?$1.00Jan 28, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek removed from App Store before March?$1.00Jan 28, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Jan 28, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Jan 28, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?$1.00Jan 28, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek be #1 model before April?$2.50Jan 24, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 24, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 24, 22:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.