0x09fe24b4be2bc22a28c18f5cfa226723ada86053
0x09fe24b4be2bc22a28c18f5cfa226723ada86053
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$86.84
Total PnL
$-886.95
Realised
$-229.45
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
599 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$86.84
$3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 6?
805 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-48.22
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
745 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-87.32
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
577 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-76.72
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?
431 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-32.86
- YES
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
334 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-46.77
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
270 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-43.12
- NO
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?
253 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-32.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?
241 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-41.02
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?
201 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-37.21
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.