Well-Lit-Jiffy
0x0a00722a5fd1a37c10f0f4bcdb6fb2ef0a3960aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-262.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
1029 shares @ 51.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$437.51
$-95.49
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
637 shares @ 62.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$436.40
$36.40
- NO
Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?
341 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$299.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?
379 shares @ 63.9¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$244.17
$2.17
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
169 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$99.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
312 shares @ 64.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in May 2026?
88 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$327.96Jul 11, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$324.00Jul 11, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?$300.00Jul 1, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$100.00Jul 1, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$724.77Jul 1, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$682.00Jun 23, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?$681.27Jun 22, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?$621.00Jun 22, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$621.75Jun 22, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?$16.00Jun 22, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?$400.00Jun 20, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?$414.38Jun 20, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?$240.00Jun 16, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$240.75Jun 16, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?$2.00Jun 11, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$2.34Jun 11, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$233.00Jun 6, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$231.49Jun 6, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?$400.00Jun 1, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$500.00Jun 1, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $232.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 21:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.