Witty-Disregard
0x0a0c42f6b1da5a633ec1a4d45ba76eb486c1a853
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$35.44
Win rate
2%
142 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 12?
7497 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 11?
7016 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12?
6739 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 4?
5151 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 2?
4908 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on May 31?
3750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 30?
2644 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 30?
2481 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 4?
2366 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 9?
1924 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 12?$3.65Aug 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 13?$10.11Aug 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 13?$4.71Aug 11, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 13?$9.25Aug 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 12?$9.85Aug 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?$2.59Aug 11, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 13?$8.26Aug 11, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 13?$8.98Aug 11, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 13?$4.06Aug 11, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 13?$9.87Aug 11, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 11?$66.66Aug 11, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 11?$11.66Aug 11, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 11?$14.49Aug 11, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 11?$5.41Aug 11, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 11?$29.41Aug 11, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?$14.49Aug 11, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 11?$13.47Aug 11, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 11?$12.50Aug 11, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 11?$15.15Aug 11, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 11?$58.82Aug 11, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 142 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
142 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 142 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.