Witty-Disregard
0x0a0c42f6b1da5a633ec1a4d45ba76eb486c1a853
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.54
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$99.30
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 27?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$8.54
$-1.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 12?
7497 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 11?
7016 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12?
6739 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 4?
5151 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 2?
4908 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on May 31?
3750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 30?
2644 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 30?
2481 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 4?
2366 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 28?$9.99Jun 27, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 28?$10.22Jun 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 28?$2.10Jun 27, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?$0.94Jun 27, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 29?$2.12Jun 27, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 29?$3.30Jun 27, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 29?$6.70Jun 27, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28?$5.00Jun 27, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28?$2.50Jun 27, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28?$1.25Jun 27, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28?$1.25Jun 27, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 28?$5.42Jun 27, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 28?$2.57Jun 27, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 28?$2.57Jun 27, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 28?$2.57Jun 27, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?$0.81Jun 27, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 26?$46.39Jun 27, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?$0.78Jun 27, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?$0.65Jun 27, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?$5.43Jun 27, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 06:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.