Trained-Veil
0x0a152fe1a2539f08da85e15809647050f7f63b51
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ross Ulbricht say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 5+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?$1.00Nov 8, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Nov 3, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 31, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 5+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$1.00May 29, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?$0.00May 29, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMAlexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes$1.72May 29, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes$1.00Apr 6, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?$1.00Mar 5, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMLily Phillips has sex with 1000+ men in a day?$0.00Mar 5, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?$0.00Mar 5, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $25-30m?$0.00Mar 5, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$0.00Mar 5, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Companion" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8m?$0.00Mar 5, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $64m?$0.00Mar 5, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$1.49Jan 31, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $64m?$1.00Jan 31, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Companion" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8m?$1.00Jan 31, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $25-30m?$1.00Jan 29, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?$1.00Jan 29, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fox News Oval Office interview?$0.00Jan 29, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 20:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.