0x0a15adef766362a4769658c99d2ac8855a04964c
0x0a15adef766362a4769658c99d2ac8855a04964c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-310.31
Realised
$-18.33
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
1002 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$1.06Jul 21, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.05Jul 21, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.96Jul 21, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.06Jul 21, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.49Jul 21, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.03Jul 21, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.06Jul 21, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.03Jul 21, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.75Jul 21, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.05Jul 21, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.00Jul 21, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.79Jul 21, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.07Jul 21, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.04Jul 21, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.