Known-Happening
0x0a17ba9106a3674b3c8e91954e578501103c0389
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-12.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 22–August 29?
1245 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?
1047 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 22–August 29?
667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?
640 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 22–August 29?
636 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 23–30?
531 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?
512 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 335–349 times August 8–August 15?
499 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 25–May 2?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times May 30–June 6?
376 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$20.00Nov 4, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$20.00Nov 4, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$40.00Nov 1, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$30.00Nov 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$28.00Nov 1, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$47.79Nov 1, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$28.00Nov 1, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$50.00Oct 30, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$55.00Oct 30, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$50.00Oct 30, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$4.95Oct 30, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$3.40Oct 30, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$20.00Oct 30, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$25.99Oct 30, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$77.22Oct 30, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$50.00Oct 30, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$94.39Oct 30, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$20.00Oct 30, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$50.00Oct 30, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Oct 30, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $48.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 13, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".