0x0a188a7040713b696b17fa75d9a203dd78c2364c
0x0a188a7040713b696b17fa75d9a203dd78c2364c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$79.06
Total PnL
$-8.6K
Realised
$-573.52
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- NO
Will Big Tobacco buy Juice Head nicotine pouches?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.50
$29.50
- NO
Will Big Tobacco buy Fre nicotine pouches?
40 shares @ 25.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.56
$13.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 27?
12131 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-70.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 26?
7052 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-312.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 27?
6447 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 29?
6280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 20?
5789 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-84.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?
5397 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-16.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on March 29?
4605 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-18.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on March 29?
4605 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-18.74
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.