These-Terrace
0x0a1f5706ffd1ad1adbc6e3c0751ff7553f4d1b4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.46
Total PnL
$-6.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.04
$0.03
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.28
$0.00
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
3 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.45
- NO
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.28Jun 13, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.01May 30, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.04May 9, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.05May 9, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$1.24May 9, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 8?$1.14May 9, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$1.24Apr 30, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.05Apr 28, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMKaroline Leavitt out by March 31?$1.65Apr 14, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMKristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 31?$1.75Apr 14, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.77Apr 14, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.04Apr 14, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.66Mar 29, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaroline Leavitt out by March 31?$1.65Mar 29, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Texas vs. Tulane$2.40Dec 30, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 31?$1.75Dec 30, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.10Dec 10, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.24Dec 10, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.34Dec 10, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.32Dec 10, 02:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 09:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.