0x0a232a0ec89d34f83c4716a178ccf361f63aaa25
0x0a232a0ec89d34f83c4716a178ccf361f63aaa25
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
410 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will William Li be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?
30 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?
30 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?
30 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Lei Jun be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?
30 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
30 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
BNB all time high by December 31?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will the New Orleans Saints be the Top Defense/Special Teams of the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.00Jan 16, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Raba be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$0.01Jan 4, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Murphy-Bunting lead the NFL in interceptions this season?$0.01Jan 2, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.01Jan 2, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Omarion Hampton be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Jan 2, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Omarion Hampton be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.01Jan 2, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.01Jan 2, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harrison Smith lead the NFL in interceptions this season?$0.01Jan 2, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Heyward lead the NFL in sacks this season?$0.01Jan 2, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Rousseau lead the NFL in sacks this season?$0.01Jan 2, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zach Sieler lead the NFL in sacks this season?$0.01Jan 2, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Sweat lead the NFL in sacks this season?$0.01Jan 2, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A.J. Brown win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?$0.01Jan 2, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?$0.01Jan 2, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill C.J. Gardner-Johnson lead the NFL in interceptions this season?$0.01Jan 2, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trevor Lawrence win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$0.01Jan 2, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.01Jan 2, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by December 31?$0.00Jan 2, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by December 31?$0.01Jan 2, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fiorentina win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.01Jan 2, 04:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 20:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 13:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.