Valid-Notion
0x0a26128edde2c80952b6c0748ea0dc4324d26614
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$11.92
Total PnL
$-1.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
4 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.20
$0.08
- NO
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.24
$0.00
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.14
$0.05
- NO
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C or below on April 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.08
$0.05
- YES
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1 shares @ 95.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.03Jun 9, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.14Jun 9, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.24Jun 9, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C or below on April 30?$1.12Apr 29, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$2.09Apr 29, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.12Apr 29, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$1.22Apr 29, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.77Apr 29, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$10.81Apr 29, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$1.20Feb 23, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.60Feb 23, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$10.80Feb 23, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.38Feb 23, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.54Feb 23, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.58Feb 23, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWealthfront IPO in 2025?$1.62Feb 23, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.77Feb 23, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.53Feb 23, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?$5.31Feb 23, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.50Jan 10, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $51.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 08:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.