Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-453.97

Realised

$-33.58

Win rate

6 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 18

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025
$0.00
$-40.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025
$0.00
$-75.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025
$0.00
$-75.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025
$0.00
$-40.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025
$0.00
$-25.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
80 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025
$0.00
$-24.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
66 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025
$0.00
$-6.57
YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
62 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$10.00Jan 25, 15:02 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$100.00Oct 28, 12:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$26.25Oct 28, 12:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$8.75Oct 28, 12:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$55.00Oct 28, 12:07 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$4.52Oct 28, 11:49 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$8.00Oct 28, 11:49 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$40.00Oct 28, 11:49 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$8.00Oct 28, 11:49 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$19.48Oct 28, 11:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$70.00Oct 28, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$99.99Oct 28, 11:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$49.50Oct 28, 11:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.50Oct 28, 11:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$17.78Oct 28, 11:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.08Oct 28, 11:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.77Oct 28, 11:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.08Oct 28, 11:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$4.29Oct 28, 11:35 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.86Oct 28, 11:23 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence20 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry50 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk49 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 47
Avg trade size: $13.09
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 27, 10:06 UTC
Last active: Jan 25, 15:02 UTC
Win rate sample: 6 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 22:15:45 UTC·src:Polymarket Data