Alarmed-Vagrant
0x0a34cd86ae71b8f63f4e8a490e07cd4ba7e24fb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-64.63
Realised
$10.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 20%?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
762 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.57
- ZALGIRIS KAUNAS
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efes
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?
89 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 2?
42 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
38 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Aurora Türkiye (BO1)$1.00Jan 10, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMCall of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5)$1.59Jan 10, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLCeltics vs. Kings$1.28Jan 2, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Jan 1, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5)$1.00Jan 1, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Kings$1.00Jan 1, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Mavericks$1.00Jan 1, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Pistons$1.00Jan 1, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Hornets$1.00Dec 31, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$0.59Dec 31, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Lakers$1.75Dec 31, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Lakers$1.00Dec 30, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3)$1.00Dec 30, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Raptors$2.04Dec 30, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 29, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$2.00Dec 29, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Raptors$1.00Dec 29, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Bulls$1.00Dec 29, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMRavens vs. Packers$2.38Dec 29, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBears vs. 49ers$1.00Dec 27, 16:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".