Euphoric-Credential
0x0a3700b2d87e8ece42a4dba8ada91aca19942f96
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$37.22
Total PnL
$-9.71
Realised
$-0.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will "Stranger Things" have 4+ seasons in Netflix's top 5 this week?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$11.63
$1.63
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$11.36
$1.36
- NO
Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.81
$0.00
- NO
Kalshi stops listing sports event contracts in Nevada in 2025?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.11
$1.11
- NO
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.20
$0.00
- NO
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 94.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Adolph Dagan win TN-7 Special Election?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?
22 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-06?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.00Dec 3, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adolph Dagan win TN-7 Special Election?$1.00Dec 3, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?$0.22Dec 3, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adolph Dagan win TN-7 Special Election?$3.00Dec 3, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$309.31Dec 3, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00Dec 3, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$314.50Dec 3, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$318.28Dec 3, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$321.80Dec 3, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adolph Dagan win TN-7 Special Election?$3.00Dec 3, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 3, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKalshi stops listing sports event contracts in Nevada in 2025?$3.00Dec 3, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Stranger Things" have 4+ seasons in Netflix's top 5 this week?$10.00Dec 3, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.02Dec 3, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?$1.08Dec 3, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMFiles proving Epstein or Maxwell were Mossad released before July?$2.13Dec 3, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chuck Schumer be named in Epstein files?$2.17Dec 3, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Islanders$1.00Apr 6, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-04-06?$1.00Apr 6, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?$2.00Apr 6, 10:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $36.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.