Fitting-Glory
0x0a387911ad18c7ce9b79443489658e042530b6cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$7.74
Total PnL
$-640.07
Realised
$-357.69
Win rate
40%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- MARIA OLIVER SANCHEZ
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Maria Oliver Sanchez vs Alexia-Shara Iancu
9 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$7.74
$-0.26
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
220 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-90.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on March 29?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
140 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-53.19
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
100 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-27.36
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
92 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
33 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 24?
20 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on February 24?
14 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.52
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
13 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYITF W35 Bistrita Women: Maria Oliver Sanchez vs Alexia-Shara Iancu$8.04Aug 18, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula$8.54Aug 18, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula$7.06Aug 17, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.06Aug 17, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.06Aug 17, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.27Aug 17, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.06Aug 17, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.01Aug 17, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.02Aug 17, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Aug 17, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 10?$4.00May 11, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 10?$1.81May 10, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 10?$1.58May 10, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 22?$1.20Apr 22, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 23?$3.37Apr 22, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
42 closed markets, 40% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 07:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.