Left-Collision
0x0a41dd4b25752fde1e99a5d3fd9c9f6e54c90b28
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$6.00
Total PnL
$-234.61
Realised
$-8.59
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 2?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$6.00
$1.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 9?
39 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 7?
35 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 6?
32 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-13.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 27?
29 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?
25 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9?
24 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 20?
24 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?
21 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 9?
20 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 1?$0.00Jul 21, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 16?$1.13Jun 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 14?$1.13Jun 14, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 13?$1.17Jun 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 12?$1.09Jun 12, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 11?$1.13Jun 10, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?$1.17Jun 9, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 8?$1.15Jun 8, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 7?$1.15Jun 7, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 6?$1.06Jun 6, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 31?$1.86May 31, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 30?$13.00May 31, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 30?$9.87May 28, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 27?$1.46May 25, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 27?$9.89May 25, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 24?$8.00May 24, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 23?$9.00May 23, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 24?$1.66May 22, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?$8.00May 22, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 23?$7.27May 21, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 04:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.