Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-48.1K

Realised

$-252.42

Win rate

43 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
1816 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-25.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
1801 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-20.01
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
1636 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-25.01
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
1206 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-25.36
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
972 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-26.54
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
921 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025
$0.00
$-20.01
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
896 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-24.39
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
711 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025
$0.00
$-355.50
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
709 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025
$0.00
$-354.50
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
703 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025
$0.00
$-351.50

Recent activity

REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$42.00Feb 3, 21:05 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$47.00Feb 3, 21:05 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$47.00Feb 3, 21:05 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$49.00Feb 3, 21:05 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$49.00Feb 3, 21:05 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$49.00Feb 3, 21:05 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$52.00Feb 3, 21:05 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$52.00Feb 3, 21:05 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$67.00Feb 3, 21:05 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$82.00Feb 3, 21:05 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$16.51Dec 25, 08:30 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$9.49Dec 25, 08:30 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$27.50Dec 25, 08:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$6.14Dec 25, 07:01 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$19.86Dec 25, 07:01 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$24.50Dec 25, 05:15 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$5.82Dec 25, 04:36 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$18.68Dec 25, 04:36 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$24.50Dec 25, 04:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$5.58Dec 25, 03:47 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry96 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk30 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 40
Avg trade size: $16.87
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 24, 21:31 UTC
Last active: Feb 3, 21:05 UTC
Win rate sample: 43 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:57:46 UTC·src:Polymarket Data