Extraneous-Bark
0x0a46d5164a405bbbab7fc1e6bc9297739ef0cd99
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$58.74
Total PnL
$-13.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
34 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$33.71
$3.71
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
23 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.92
$2.32
- YES
GPT ads by March 31?
3 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.11
$0.11
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 61.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: January
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$19.60Jan 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?$30.00Jan 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 16, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?$10.00Jan 16, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by March 31?$3.00Jan 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: January$5.00Jan 16, 22:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $12.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 22:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 12:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.