Homely-Quinoa
0x0a4e5189c023fffbe67abc888b8ed11fb7de6edf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
1532 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-765.85
- CANADIENS
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
1478 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-458.28
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
977 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-432.43
- YES
Fight to Go the Distance?
540 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Fight to Go the Distance?
532 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-97.44
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
433 shares @ 62.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-270.79
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
141 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.89
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
123 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-103.00
- CANADIENS
Sabres vs. Canadiens
104 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-59.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?$5.00Jun 29, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$5.01Jun 29, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$2.25Jun 29, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$777.34Jun 26, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$439.66Jun 25, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$50.08Jun 25, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$223.74Jun 25, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$49.12Jun 25, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$28.36Jun 25, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$0.00Jun 25, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$203.23Jun 25, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$153.56Jun 24, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-24?$51.06Jun 24, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$75.76Jun 24, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$103.49Jun 23, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$50.51Jun 23, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$56.22Jun 23, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$36.92Jun 23, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$36.54Jun 23, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$15.27Jun 22, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $92.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 21:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 18:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.