Direct-Ignorance
0x0a51d1e2698561489f3951a64f5940adff127eb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$115.00
Total PnL
$1.65
Realised
$0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
27 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$27.00
$0.32
- NO
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.00
$0.02
- NO
Bybit insolvent in 2025?
24 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$24.00
$1.20
- YES
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$20.00
$0.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?
19 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$19.00
$0.06
- YES
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $4b and $4.5b on Feb 21?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBybit insolvent in 2025?$22.80Oct 11, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more? $0.60Sep 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$21.74Sep 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.94Sep 9, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLinea airdrop in Q3 2025?$19.96Sep 9, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?$24.98Sep 9, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more? $0.05Sep 9, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more? $0.30Sep 9, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200K in September?$18.94Sep 9, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$16.50Sep 9, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $4b and $4.5b on Feb 21?$0.25Feb 18, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$16.37Feb 18, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?$0.00Feb 18, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMTether Insolvent in 2024?$6.80Feb 18, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMFarcaster airdrop in 2024?$10.00Feb 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTether Insolvent in 2024?$6.65Dec 5, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLFarcaster airdrop in 2024?$6.65Dec 5, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFarcaster airdrop in 2024?$16.05Nov 12, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have 51 seats in Senate after election?$0.07Nov 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill J.B. Pritzker be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.00Nov 12, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $10.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 02:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.