Moral-Maid
0x0a52ef222302b4223ac0d1d9927cd21ece0cc71d
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$53.02
Total PnL
$-20.54
Realised
$-20.31
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in April?
11 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$11.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
7 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.38
$0.38
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
7 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$7.01
$1.61
- NO
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
6 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.74
$0.09
- NO
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?
6 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$5.58
$0.28
- NO
Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$4.61
$0.11
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$3.90
$0.90
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$2.05
$0.25
- NO
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.89
$0.53
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.48
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.50Apr 21, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$10.84Apr 21, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?$5.30Apr 20, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$3.00Apr 20, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$1.20Apr 20, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$9.75Apr 20, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.00Apr 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$7.00Apr 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3000 in April?$11.00Apr 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$5.40Apr 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win La Liga?$5.65Apr 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$9.78Apr 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$13.65Apr 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok?$4.50Apr 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$8.52Apr 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$10.23Apr 18, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$11.49Apr 18, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arizona win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$12.17Apr 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$11.00Mar 27, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$15.00Mar 27, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $321.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 16:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.