Lost-Thermometer
0x0a563d9d15701943010fd20dc42347bcd09f3e1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$5.42
Total PnL
$-74.69
Realised
$0.75
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?
10843 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.42
$-27.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 12?
985 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10AM ET
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
114 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
56 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-10?
51 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
35 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?$16.94Jun 13, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?$10.50Jun 13, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?$5.50Jun 13, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?$1.57Jun 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$2.08Jun 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$0.42Jun 13, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$1.03Jun 13, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$33.56Jun 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$37.50Jun 13, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$36.09Jun 13, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$24.25Jun 13, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$9.67Jun 13, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$1.03Jun 13, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13?$0.34Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 13, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$3.01Jun 13, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?$1.03Jun 13, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?$0.57Jun 12, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?$1.04Jun 12, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?$15.83Jun 12, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 04:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.