Hopeful-Liar
0x0a569c627e114c2c9b2e917aba74199144872ef5
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$9.09
Total PnL
$-35.81
Realised
$6.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$9.09
$7.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7AM ET
1111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 15)
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
153 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
151 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
66 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
16 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
4 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2.00Mar 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$5.00Mar 21, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$5.00Mar 21, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$6.00Mar 14, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$5.00Mar 14, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.08Mar 13, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$6.00Mar 12, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Mar 12, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$13.58Mar 12, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$6.00Mar 12, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$10.00Mar 12, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.00Mar 12, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$1.00Mar 12, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$10.00Mar 12, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1.00Mar 11, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 15)$10.00Mar 11, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$16.08Mar 11, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$4.29Mar 11, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 21:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.