Functional-Spray
0x0a59d97941dff6cfbc66f982d6aece29e9633a52
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$2.43
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
1136 shares @ 88.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$937.50
$-62.50
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1968 shares @ 75.8¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$934.84
$-557.34
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1205 shares @ 59.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$319.25
$-400.74
- NO
Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?
312 shares @ 89.1¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$277.43
$-0.46
- NO
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?
240 shares @ 97.9¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$230.02
$-5.26
- NO
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?
214 shares @ 98.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$205.25
$-5.27
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
155 shares @ 86.8¢·now 71.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$110.52
$-23.82
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
179 shares @ 56.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$104.52
$4.52
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
184 shares @ 70.5¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$67.31
$-62.69
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
84 shares @ 84.8¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$51.90
$-19.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $16.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.