Triangular-Incense
0x0a61b93aadb6d96170fd4189da71e639affe2727
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$-832.92
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2200 shares @ 74.7¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.4K
$-202.56
- NO
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2200 shares @ 36.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$758.78
$-45.51
- YES
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$606.00
$6.00
- BELGIUM
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
1200 shares @ 47.3¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$570.00
$2.70
- NO
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
290 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$198.87
$-1.45
- PORTUGAL
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
123 shares @ 72.5¢·now 74.1¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$91.17
$1.99
- NETHERLANDS
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
8433 shares @ 60.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.1K
- NO
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5021 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 75.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.8K
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.