Sarcastic-Fellow
0x0a61e40ebf154825b164382cd932ece781cf2c6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$864.44
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
11526 shares @ 21.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$864.44
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
3180 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-203.64
- YES
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
817 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.25
- YES
Will MrBeast be the next CEO of X?
58 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.