Immense-Eardrum
0x0a6816ea16a9c377c636dd5c6f09912b624cedd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.05
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$44.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?
96 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.05
$-27.79
- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 5?
700 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?
508 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 17?
500 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?$28.83Jul 28, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 28?$4.87Jul 28, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 28?$1.04Jul 28, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 28?$1.33Jul 28, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 28?$1.62Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 28?$8.36Jul 28, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 28?$6.21Jul 28, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 28?$5.17Jul 28, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$41.56Jul 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 28?$2.46Jul 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?$1.65Jul 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?$1.74Jul 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?$4.48Jul 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?$5.92Jul 28, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?$4.41Jul 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$29.79Jul 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 28?$5.27Jul 28, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 28?$6.06Jul 28, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 28?$6.59Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 28?$0.33Jul 28, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.