Striking-Freon-Shape
0x0a6beb39fecc6155c119fa811628f0371a5f96e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$263.27
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$535.66
Win rate
47%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
408 shares @ 64.8¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$263.27
$-1.20
- NO
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
24392 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-487.83
- OVER
Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay 1st Half O/U 1.5
14165 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-849.91
- NO
Belgium leading at halftime?
7325 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-268.54
- NO
Uzbekistan leading at halftime?
6495 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-64.98
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
6250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Germany leading at halftime?
6250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-74.99
- NO
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
4167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- NO
Senegal leading at halftime?
3084 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-123.34
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$4.04Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$18.45Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$32.52Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$240.72Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$308.53Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$204.51Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$0.01Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$77.07Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$0.46Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$26.36Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$35.79Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$4.67Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$17.73Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$29.63Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$2.07Jun 28, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$6.20Jun 28, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$62.03Jun 28, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAustria leading at halftime?$2.92Jun 28, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLAustria leading at halftime?$2.91Jun 28, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLAustria leading at halftime?$1.00Jun 28, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
26/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $97.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 02:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 03:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.