Sneaky-Compassionate
0x0a6c197e1b2c548620708ebc94b899ec23c40451
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-136.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?
1130 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
465 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 31?
34 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
4 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?$114.96May 30, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 31?$10.35May 30, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.71May 30, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$11.46May 30, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$13.27May 30, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 24?$22.73May 26, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$7.81May 25, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 24?$10.28May 23, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$10.12May 23, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$10.42May 22, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$17.24May 22, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$10.99May 22, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$5.09May 21, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 20?$15.38May 20, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$10.01May 20, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$10.04May 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$10.17May 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 20?$10.14May 20, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$10.02May 20, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$10.12May 20, 10:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 12:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.