Firsthand-Pig
0x0a7846db4fdab3b6d55954aadcada7f958afe454
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$0.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
513 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$511.55
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on August 1?
121 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$120.39
$-0.27
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 1?
113 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$112.93
$0.06
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C or below on August 1?
89 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$88.63
$0.04
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 1?
88 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$87.75
$0.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on August 1?
81 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$81.42
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?
50 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$49.83
$-0.07
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 1?
46 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$45.84
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 31?$64.94Jul 31, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 31?$200.00Jul 31, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 1?$45.87Jul 31, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?$49.90Jul 31, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or below on August 1?$81.38Jul 31, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on August 1?$120.68Jul 31, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C or below on August 1?$88.61Jul 31, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 31?$64.32Jul 31, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 31?$199.62Jul 31, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$511.55Jul 31, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 1?$86.96Jul 31, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 1?$112.88Jul 31, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 17?$200.00Jul 17, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 17?$901.73Jul 17, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 17?$260.00Jul 17, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 17?$259.51Jul 17, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 17?$900.87Jul 17, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 17?$99.62Jul 17, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 17?$99.71Jul 17, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on July 2?$967.00Jul 2, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $242.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.