0x0a7be81df279583274c61c763e835297d01524ca
0x0a7be81df279583274c61c763e835297d01524ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-407.62
Realised
$-47.81
Win rate
8%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?
516 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-13.11
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 5?
284 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-22.32
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 11?
237 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.41
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?
231 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 11?
138 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.68
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 2?
137 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-31.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 5?
133 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-27.43
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?
97 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 9?
83 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-21.43
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 21?$4.59Jul 21, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 21?$1.99Jul 21, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 21?$1.99Jul 21, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 21?$1.99Jul 21, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 21?$2.00Jul 21, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 21?$2.00Jul 21, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$10.00Jul 18, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?$22.19Jul 18, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?$9.49Jul 18, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?$10.00Jul 18, 02:44 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.16Jul 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$8.16Jul 13, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$7.09Jul 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$7.22Jul 13, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$17.69Jul 13, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$11.29Jul 13, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$11.29Jul 13, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$8.44Jul 13, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$2.11Jul 13, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$4.40Jul 13, 07:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 74 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
74 closed markets, 8% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 03:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.