Ugly-Exhibit
0x0a8d3d96b9a83ca54c43ecf528c2c00a92237688
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$13.66
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-38.60
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.31
$1.31
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.08
$0.08
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 28.1¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.69
$-0.31
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.73
$-2.26
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
11924 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-119.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
8938 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-180.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
7711 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-77.11
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
6482 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-64.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
6247 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-77.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.56Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$11.65Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$11.25Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.60 in April?$3.36May 17, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$3.75May 17, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.85May 17, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.35May 17, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$48.39May 17, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$3.95Apr 25, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$13.51Apr 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.82Apr 24, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.80Apr 24, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.18Apr 24, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.15Apr 24, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.53Apr 24, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".