Optimal-Strobe
0x0a909636cd147874c5fc8bcf5796631a8d569690
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$12.16
Total PnL
$-124.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.50
$-0.50
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
67 shares @ 7.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.03
$-0.97
- YES
Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?
140 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
105 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.74
$-3.26
- YES
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 22, 2026?
389 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or higher on February 10?
371 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
308 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$12.43May 15, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.23May 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$5.23May 2, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?$3.11May 2, 22:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.00Apr 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.00Apr 12, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$12.00Apr 12, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 900k-1m people?$2.00Apr 11, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$4.00Apr 11, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.00Apr 5, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$4.00Apr 5, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman again in March?$1.00Apr 5, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Apr 5, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$16.67Apr 5, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 22, 2026?$2.00Mar 8, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 24, 2026?$5.00Mar 8, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3.82Mar 1, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$55.27Mar 1, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 18, 17:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".