0x0aa0a0f019c373c47f2053c72af989ff93f29aa4
0x0aa0a0f019c373c47f2053c72af989ff93f29aa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$33.05
Total PnL
$-238.88
Realised
$-11.81
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
12 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$12.32
$8.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
11 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$10.88
$1.63
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$9.86
$1.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
94 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-60.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
22 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.71
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
19 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
15 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.97
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.17
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$8.48Apr 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.71Apr 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.56Apr 17, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$3.00Apr 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$10.78Apr 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$7.92Apr 17, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$10.00Apr 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.06Apr 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.84Apr 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$8.00Apr 16, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$3.90Apr 16, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$3.90Apr 16, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$9.71Apr 16, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$6.00Apr 16, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$3.60Apr 16, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$3.30Apr 16, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$20.17Apr 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$3.53Apr 16, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$5.95Apr 16, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.90Apr 16, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 12:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 19:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.