Superior-Partnership
0x0aa7430fe783618ba09f468a358028823d3b3f05
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$355.59
Total PnL
$-71.07
Realised
$-15.21
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
129 shares @ 67.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$88.44
$0.75
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 57.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$58.50
$1.50
- NO
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2027$55.00
$4.00
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
54 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$41.45
$0.27
- YES
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
116 shares @ 32.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2026$27.84
$-9.28
- YES
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
133 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.54
$-0.47
- YES
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
26 shares @ 58.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$16.51
$1.43
- YES
Over $3M committed to the Ryvo public sale?
25 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$12.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
25 shares @ 60.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Mar 14, 2027$11.88
$-3.13
- NO
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?
37 shares @ 44.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.70
$-7.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?$6.70Aug 7, 13:51 UTC
- MERGEWill Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?$25.00Aug 7, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?$8.30Aug 7, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?$9.75Aug 7, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?$5.20Aug 7, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?$9.80Aug 7, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$15.08Aug 7, 11:47 UTC
- MERGEAlofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?$24.00Aug 7, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?$17.00Aug 7, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?$15.86Aug 7, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Ryvo public sale?$12.00Aug 7, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?$3.78Aug 7, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?$18.98Aug 7, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?$2.59Aug 7, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?$0.67Aug 7, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?$7.08Aug 7, 04:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.96Aug 7, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$17.29Aug 7, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$21.01Aug 7, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?$79.00Aug 6, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $52.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.