Strident-Hunger
0x0ababd7750cce137dae84471b7ade3b19c87eea1
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.4K
Realised
$-7.0K
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek Chat V3.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
10177 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
6634 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.5K
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
6210 shares @ 55.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
3881 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?
3297 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-175.71
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 27?
3268 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-134.18
- YES
Will DegenPing win the Synthetix trading competition?
2459 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-287.56
- NO
Will Unknown’s Mystery Model win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
2333 shares @ 95.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Google’s Gemini 3 Pro win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?
1228 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-106.97
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?
429 shares @ 77.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-330.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$19.7KJan 3, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$50.1KJan 3, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?$4.0KJan 1, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.00Jan 1, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?$0.00Jan 1, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?$7.1KJan 1, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?$14.1KJan 1, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$45.2KDec 31, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$76.1KDec 31, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$102.1KDec 31, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$157.0KDec 31, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMNo airdrop in 2025?$3.1KDec 30, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMLighter Airdrop on December 30?$50.3KDec 30, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $33.4KDec 30, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMLighter Airdrop on December 29?$21.0KDec 30, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 30?$3.0KDec 30, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 30?$757.60Dec 30, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 30?$94.70Dec 30, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 30?$714.00Dec 30, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 30?$2.0KDec 30, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 04:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 11:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.