Dazzling-Regret
0x0ac7b2137dc0ff61a4ca2611c6f5ca5f08a0c678
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-82.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 6?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 10?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on November 22?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Mistral AI have the best AI model on October 31?
488 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
339 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 20?
189 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $170 October 6-12?
54 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-53.80
- ROCKETS
Rockets vs. Mavericks
20 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-14.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$14.21Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$14.20Jul 17, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$76.23Jun 17, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$76.01Jun 14, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?$75.08Jun 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?$75.00Jun 8, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on June 2?$75.08Jun 2, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on June 2?$75.01Jun 1, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?$1.00May 26, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 26?$75.08May 26, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?$1.00May 26, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 26?$75.00May 25, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$75.08May 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$75.01May 19, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$75.08May 19, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$75.01May 9, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$75.15May 9, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$75.01May 8, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00May 8, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$6.01May 8, 11:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $58.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.